{"id":7249,"date":"2022-07-19T09:11:34","date_gmt":"2022-07-19T07:11:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.viap.es\/eurocontrol-revises-downwards-its-aerial-traffic-prediction-for-end-2020-early-2021\/"},"modified":"2022-09-06T11:25:31","modified_gmt":"2022-09-06T09:25:31","slug":"eurocontrol-revises-downwards-its-aerial-traffic-prediction-for-end-2020-early-2021","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.viap.es\/en\/eurocontrol-revises-downwards-its-aerial-traffic-prediction-for-end-2020-early-2021\/","title":{"rendered":"EUROCONTROL REVISES DOWNWARDS ITS AERIAL TRAFFIC PREDICTION FOR END 2020 \/ EARLY 2021"},"content":{"rendered":"
EUROCONTROL<\/a> has revised downwards its Draft Traffic Scenarios up to February 2021. Under its new \u201cCurrent Status Scenario\u201d, the total number of flights expected in Europe is anticipated to be 55% lower than in 2019, a drop of 6 million fewer flights, or a further 1 million reduction in European flights than previously anticipated.<\/h5>\n

Eamonn Brennan, Director General EUROCONTROL said<\/strong>, \u201cWe\u2019re going backwards now and it\u2019s really worrying for the entire industry. There\u2019s a lack of coordination between States on how to manage air travel despite good guidance from EASA and ECDC;<\/strong> there\u2019s a lot of confusion and very little passenger confidence; and of course, outbreaks of COVID-19 are picking up across Europe. Our new Current Status Scenario could improve if there was more coordination between States on how best to handle air travel through harmonized testing and common epidemiological assessment criteria<\/strong>. That would give more predictability for passengers, airports and airlines. At the same time, it could get even worse if States continue to impose blanket restrictions and quarantine measures<\/strong> \u2013 this approach is killing the travel and tourism industry. We welcome the European Commission proposals for harmonization and encourage all parties to adopt them<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\n

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EUROCONTROL had previously produced Draft Traffic Scenarios on 24 April, based on a \u201cCoordinated Measures Scenario\u201d, which remained highly accurate for April through the end of August and predicted a gradual recovery from -89% in April to -50% in August. This prediction was correct (+\/- 1% each month). That scenario had indicated a drop of 45% or 5 million fewer flights. That scenario also assumed that if the trend remained positive, the gradual recovery could potentially continue for the rest of 2020 and assumed a restoration of some inter-continental operations.<\/p>\n